Jan 27, 2015

Final 2014 Numbers On Disability Insurance Trust Fund: What Do They Portend?


Disability Insurance Trust Fund, 1957-2014
[In millions]

Assets
Calendar
year
Total
receipts
Total
expenditures
Net increase
during year
Assets at
end of year
1957 $709 $59 $649 $649
1958 991 261 729 1,379
1959 931 485 447 1,825
1960 1,063 600 464 2,289
1961 1,104 956 148 2,437
1962 1,114 1,183 -69 2,368
1963 1,165 1,297 -133 2,235
1964 1,218 1,407 -188 2,047
1965 1,247 1,687 -440 1,606
1966 2,079 1,947 133 1,739
1967 2,379 2,089 290 2,029
1968 3,454 2,458 996 3,025
1969 3,792 2,716 1,075 4,100
1970 4,774 3,259 1,514 5,614
1971 5,031 4,000 1,031 6,645
1972 5,572 4,759 813 7,457
1973 6,443 5,973 470 7,927
1974 7,378 7,196 182 8,109
1975 8,035 8,790 -754 7,354
1976 8,757 10,366 -1,609 5,745
1977 9,570 11,945 -2,375 3,370
1978 13,810 12,954 856 4,226
1979 15,590 14,186 1,404 5,630
1980 13,871 15,872 -2,001 3,629
1981 17,078 17,658 -580 3,049
1982 22,715 17,992 -358 2,691
1983 20,682 18,177 2,505 5,195
1984 17,309 18,546 -1,237 3,959
1985 19,301 19,478 2,363 6,321
1986 19,439 20,522 1,459 7,780
1987 20,303 21,425 -1,122 6,658
1988 22,699 22,494 206 6,864
1989 24,795 23,753 1,041 7,905
1990 28,791 25,616 3,174 11,079
1991 30,390 28,571 1,819 12,898
1992 31,430 32,004 -574 12,324
1993 32,301 35,662 -3,361 8,963
1994 52,841 38,879 13,962 22,925
1995 56,696 42,055 14,641 37,566
1996 60,710 45,351 15,359 52,924
1997 60,499 47,034 13,465 66,389
1998 64,357 49,931 14,425 80,815
1999 69,541 53,035 16,507 97,321
2000 77,920 56,782 21,138 118,459
2001 83,903 61,369 22,534 140,993
2002 87,379 67,905 19,475 160,468
2003 88,074 73,108 14,966 175,434
2004 91,380 80,597 10,783 186,217
2005 97,423 88,018 9,405 195,623
2006 102,641 94,456 8,185 203,808
2007 109,854 98,778 11,076 214,884
2008 109,840 108,951 889 215,773
2009 109,283 121,506 -12,223 203,550
2010 104,017 127,660 -23,643 179,907
2011 106,276 132,332 -26,056 153,850
2012 109,115 140,299 -31,184 122,666
2013 111,228 143,450 -32,221 90,445
2014 114,858 145,060 -30,201 60,244
     The crucial question is what happens in the next two years. There was modest improvement in  the rate at which the Disability Trust Fund went down in 2014 over 2013. Was it just a blip or a sign of things to come. The number actually drawing Disability Insurance Benefits stabilized in 2014 and was heading down in the last three months of the year. Was 2014 an inflection point? If so, how much of an inflection point?

2 comments:

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Anonymous said...

Any correlation suspected with the Obama presidency?