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Jul 29, 2011

Roundup Of Debt Ceiling News

Here is this morning's news concerning the debt ceiling crisis that threatens Social Security payments among other things:
  • House Speaker John Boehner was forced to postpone a vote on his party's plan for extending the debt ceiling because he did not have enough votes to pass it. It is unclear whether he can get the votes solely from among Republicans. Republicans in the House has no recent experience in negotiating for Democratic votes.The Republican dilemma changes the equation as the Associated Press notes: "Republicans will try again Friday. If they continue to fail, then President Barack Obama and Senate Democrats will have extensive leverage to shape a bill to their liking and practically dare the House to reject it and send the nation into default." On the other hand, Ezra Klein warns that "Anyone who says they know exactly what happens next is lying." By the way, one problem for Republicans is that their bill includes $17 billion for Pell grants, which got some Republican votes but which some other Republicans regard as pork.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 62 points yesterday. It is down 440 points on the week heading into today's trading. Interest rates on U.S. Treasury notes have moved sharply higher. Investors have pulled billions of dollars out of money market funds in recent days. Moody's is threatening to lower the credit ratings of 177 municipal bond issuers -- and yes, that is related to the debt ceiling impasse. If this sounds like developments that don't threaten you, trust me each and every person reading this is threatened by these developments.
  • Update: The Dow is down by over 100 points in early trading.  Harry Reid, the Senate Majority Leader, has just told the Senate that "The last train is leaving the station" as he starts to move forward with his bill to raise the debt ceiling.
  • Further update: The President is speaking to the country urging quick action. This is a tweet from an Agence France Presse (AFP) reporter: "Looks like US Senate votes at 1 am Sun, 7:30 am Mon, final vote Tues, per a Dem aide. " This would then go to the House of Representatives which would decide whether we have a default. 
  • Further update: It looks like House Republicans may bring a bill to the floor under which "The debt ceiling would be raised immediately but not by enough to get the government through next year. To get the second debt ceiling increase, House Republicans want a balanced budget constitutional amendment to pass both chambers first and be referred to the states." The Senate would never agree to that. 
  • Further update: From Michael Shear writing on his New York Times blog:
Senate Democrats said Friday that they were prepared for an all-night battle on the Senate floor that could go into the wee hours of Sunday morning unless Republicans began negotiating on a bipartisan plan to raise the debt ceiling....
If Republicans filibuster that vote, Democrats say they are prepared to repeatedly require Republicans to object to the bill’s passage, keeping them in their seats for hours and creating a middle-of-the-night legislative spectacle for the cameras.
And from Ezra Klein:
John Boehner has a problem. He likes being Speaker of the House of Representatives. He would like to continue to be Speaker of the House of Representatives. But being Speaker of the House of Representatives means both leading the House Republicans and compromising to get things done. And in this Republican Party, at this moment, if you want to lead the House Republicans, you can’t compromise to get things done.
We’ve now seen the same farce play out four times. Republican leaders get close to a deal and then, just before they can close it, their members revolt and they have to pull back....
In order to have any chance of surviving as Speaker of the House, Boehner needs to produce legislation that is completely unacceptable to the White House and the Senate. Their opposition is a feature, not a bug. Consider how he sold his plan to Laura Ingraham: “President Obama hates it. Harry Reid hates it. Nancy Pelosi hates it. Why would Republicans want to be on the side of President Obama, Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi [is] beyond me.”
Why anyone would think that a plan loathed by the Majority Leader of the Senate and the President of the United States would be signed into law is beyond me. And since then, Boehner has moved the plan considerably to the right. But that’s because he’s not legislating. He’s just trying to survive.
It’s not just that Boehner’s party doesn’t like any of the viable compromises on the table. It’s that they don’t like compromise, full stop.

    10 comments:

    1. "By the way, one problem for Republicans is that their bill includes $17 billion for Pell grants, which got some Republican votes but which some other Republicans regard as pork."

      Nice of you to include that but omit the fact that Harry Reid's plan includes $18 billion in pork/Pell grants. Not that any of us expects you to be fair...

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    2. Only a complete zealot would equate college tuition assistance to "pork". Pell Grants are a longstanding way to help kids pay for their educations. If that's "pork", I'll gladly preserve it.

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    3. If democrats can cut spending(entitlements),why can't republicans raise taxes alittle or otherwise compromise?

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    4. "Pell Grants are a longstanding way to help kids pay for their educations."

      These longstanding ways are what have got us into this mess.

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    5. No, unpaid wars, prescription drug programs, tax cuts and stimulus spending are what got us into this mess, along with thirty years of stupid economic and trade policies. Pell Grants are a success--enabling kids to go to college so that they can be decently employed and, incidentally, pay taxes. They've never been attacked like this, supported by Democratic and Republican pols alike--until this group of fanatics hijacked the GOP.

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    6. http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=191032

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    7. Kind of ironic that during the Bush administration, Democrats were on Sunday talk shows talking about Republicans spending like drunken sailors with unfunded wars, a new unfunded Medicare benefit and daring pork barrel projects with no vetoes. Little thought was given to paying for those things - just that we'd pay for them in the future. The future is now the present and the GOP sure gives one to believe they don't intend to pay for yesterday's folly.

      Of course the soap opera drama of our nation debating whether it will pay its bills may prove uninspiring to potential new creditors.

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    8. Well maybe if we stiff our war creditors they won't fund any more middle east invasions. May be just what we need to restrain the neocons

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    9. http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/SenRe/start/14756/stop/16376

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    10. I'm no lawyer, economist, nor politician -- I have no gift with words and I don't understand investments. So, I hope this comment is welcome.

      I only wanted to say that as an ordinary nobody, this scared me pretty bad. I'm glad they're starting to work something out, and I hope they don't have so much trouble compromising anymore.

      That's all.

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