Jan 10, 2007

The President's Notion Of Social Security Reform

The following excerpts from a Dow Jones article seems to confirm that the White House is seeking a plan to "save" Social Security in which Democrats take the blame for cutting benefits and raising taxes, while President Bush takes the credit for some sort of private account.
U.S. President George W. Bush would prefer not to boost Social Security taxes, but is ready to listen to all ideas on entitlement reform, the White House said Tuesday, declining to explicitly rule out the idea of a tax hike. ...

Bush has tasked Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson with working with lawmakers on a fix for the ailing Social Security system. The talks, conducted behind closed doors, have triggered speculation that a bipartisan compromise could include raising the $97,500 limit on income subject to the Social Security payroll tax and adopting Bush's proposed personal retirement accounts.

Asked if taxes were off the negotiating table, Snow said, "We never said that they were on the table." ...

Democrats have shown no willingness to accept retirement accounts, particularly if they are funded by payroll taxes. Investment accounts, however, remain at the top of Bush's Social Security reform agenda.

"We'll let the debate proceed, but you know what the president's bright lines are: he believes it's important to have an investment component that allows people to take advantage of the far superior rates of return that one gets investing in a market place," Snow said.

National Retirement Risk Index

The Center for Retirement Research at Boston College is an important resource that draws little public attention. A recent release gives information about their "retirement risk index" which deserves wider attention. Here is their description of their recent research on this subject:
In June 2006, the Center for Retirement Research released the National Retirement Risk Index (NRRI). The results showed that even if households work to age 65 and annuitize all their financial assets, including the receipts from reverse mortgages on their homes, 43 percent will be at risk of being unable to maintain their standard of living in retirement. Households are more likely to be ‘at risk’ if they are young, have low incomes, or lack pension coverage.

This brief looks at the three major factors that have caused the Index to increase since the early 1980s. These factors are: 1) a decline in Social Security replacement rates due to the decline in one-earner couples and the increase in Social Security’s Normal Retirement Age; 2) lower pension replacement rates as a result of the shift from defined benefit to defined contribution plans; and 3) lower annuity payments due to the dramatic decline in real interest rates. These negative factors have been only partially offset by a modest increase in financial assets, and an increase in the retirement income that homeowners could potentially obtain through reverse mortgages.

Having identified the key movers, this brief also updates the Index from 2004 to 2006. During this period, the run-up in housing prices was cancelled out by a corresponding surge in mortgage debt, which resulted in no change in the ‘at risk’ status of any of the Index’s age cohorts. However, compared to the 2004 Index, the 2006 Index has more Generation Xers and fewer Baby Boomers. Since Generation Xers are more likely to be ‘at risk,’ this change increased the Index slightly to 44 percent.

First Installment Of Annual Statistical Supplement Published

Social Security has begun publishing its annual statistical supplement for 2006. The full supplement is enormous and gives a wealth of information about everything at Social Security. This is just the first installment.

No Sign Of Overwork At Social Security's Press Office

The website for Social Security's main press office shows that it has at least five employees. In 2006 that office put out a total of seven press releases. Undoubtedly, the office responded to a number of press inquiries, but anyone who looks back over the press articles linked in this space will not see all that many where anyone from Social Security's press office is quoted. It seems unlikely that the main Social Security press office is getting even one call a day from anyone in the press. Note also that Social Security has ten regional press officers to handle the workload.

In May 2006, while Social Security as a whole was struggling to meet its Medicare Part D workload, Social Security was having a national conference for its public affairs personnel, featuring Willard Scott and Ari Fleischer as paid speakers.

Jan 9, 2007

Treating Physician Rule A Problem At VA As Well As SSA

The "treating physician rule" which requires Social Security to give special weight to the opinion of a treating physician when making disability determinations has been a frequent bone of contention. The Durham, NC Herald-Sun reports on exactly the same problem at the Department of Veterans Affairs, which also prefers to rely upon the opinions of its staff physicians rather than the opinions of treating physicians.

Jan 8, 2007

House Appropriations Committee Members

The House Appropriations Committee probably is more important to the Social Security Administration than the House Ways and Means Committee which has substantive jurisdiction over the agency. No subcommittee assignments have been announced yet. Courtesy of Congress.org, here is a list of the members of the full committee, however.

Committee Chair
David R. Obey Rep.
David R. Obey (DEM-WI-7th)
Ranking Member
Jerry Lewis Rep.
Jerry Lewis (REP-CA-41st)

Democrats (37)
Rep. John Murtha (DEM-PA-12th)
Rep. Norman Dicks (DEM-WA-6th)
Rep. Alan Mollohan (DEM-WV-1st)
Rep. Marcy Kaptur (DEM-OH-9th)
Rep. Peter Visclosky (DEM-IN-1st)
Rep. Nita Lowey (DEM-NY-18th)
Rep. Jose Serrano (DEM-NY-16th)
Rep. Rosa DeLauro (DEM-CT-3rd)
Rep. James Moran (DEM-VA-8th)
Rep. John Olver (DEM-MA-1st)
Rep. Ed Pastor (DEM-AZ-4th)
Rep. David Price (DEM-NC-4th)
Rep. Chet Edwards (DEM-TX-17th)
Rep. Robert Cramer (DEM-AL-5th)
Rep. Patrick Kennedy (DEM-RI-1st)
Rep. Maurice Hinchey (DEM-NY-22nd)
Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (DEM-CA-34th)
Rep. Sam Farr (DEM-CA-17th)
Rep. Jesse Jackson (DEM-IL-2nd)
Rep. Carolyn Kilpatrick (DEM-MI-13th)
Rep. F. Allen Boyd (DEM-FL-2nd)
Rep. Chaka Fattah (DEM-PA-2nd)
Rep. Steven Rothman (DEM-NJ-9th)
Rep. Sanford Bishop (DEM-GA-2nd)
Rep. Marion Berry (DEM-AR-1st)
Rep. Barbara Lee (DEM-CA-9th)
Rep. Tom Udall (DEM-NM-3rd)
Rep. Adam Schiff (DEM-CA-29th)
Rep. Michael Honda (DEM-CA-15th)
Rep. Betty McCollum (DEM-MN-4th)
Rep. Steve Israel (DEM-NY-2nd)
Rep. Tim Ryan (DEM-OH-17th)
Rep. C.A. Ruppersberger (DEM-MD-2nd)
Rep. Ben Chandler (DEM-KY-6th)
Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (DEM-FL-20th)
Rep. Ciro Rodriguez (DEM-TX-23rd)

Republicans (29)
Rep. C.W. Bill Young (REP-FL-10th)
Rep. Ralph Regula (REP-OH-16th)
Rep. Harold Rogers (REP-KY-5th)
Rep. Frank Wolf (REP-VA-10th)
Rep. James Walsh (REP-NY-25th)
Rep. David Hobson (REP-OH-7th)
Rep. Joseph Knollenberg (REP-MI-9th)
Rep. Jack Kingston (REP-GA-1st)
Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (REP-NJ-11th)
Rep. Roger Wicker (REP-MS-1st)
Rep. Todd Tiahrt (REP-KS-4th)
Rep. Zach Wamp (REP-TN-3rd)
Rep. Tom Latham (REP-IA-4th)
Rep. Robert Aderholt (REP-AL-4th)
Rep. Jo Ann Emerson (REP-MO-8th)
Rep. Kay Granger (REP-TX-12th)
Rep. John Peterson (REP-PA-5th)
Rep. Virgil Goode (REP-VA-5th)
Rep. John Doolittle (REP-CA-4th)
Rep. Ray LaHood (REP-IL-18th)
Rep. Dave Weldon (REP-FL-15th)
Rep. Mike Simpson (REP-ID-2nd)
Rep. John Culberson (REP-TX-7th)
Rep. Mark Kirk (REP-IL-10th)
Rep. Ander Crenshaw (REP-FL-4th)
Rep. Dennis Rehberg (REP-MT-At-Large)
Rep. John Carter (REP-TX-31st)
Rep. Rodney Alexander (REP-LA-5th)


Senate Appropriations Committee Members

The House and Senate Appropriations Committees may be more important for the immediate future of the Social Security Administration than the committees that have substantive jurisdiction over the agency.

The Senate Appropriations Committee has not yet named its subcommittees, but, courtesy of Congress.org, here are the full committee members for this Congress:

Committee Chair
Robert C. Byrd Sen.
Robert C. Byrd (DEM-WV)
Ranking Member
Thad Cochran Sen.
Thad Cochran (REP-MS)

Democrats (15)
Sen. Daniel Inouye (DEM-HI)
Sen. Patrick Leahy (DEM-VT)
Sen. Tom Harkin (DEM-IA)
Sen. Barbara Mikulski (DEM-MD)
Sen. Herbert Kohl (DEM-WI)
Sen. Patty Murray (DEM-WA)
Sen. Byron Dorgan (DEM-ND)
Sen. Dianne Feinstein (DEM-CA)
Sen. Richard Durbin (DEM-IL)
Sen. Tim Johnson (DEM-SD)
Sen. Mary Landrieu (DEM-LA)
Sen. Jack Reed (DEM-RI)
Sen. Frank Lautenberg (DEM-NJ)
Sen. Ben Nelson (DEM-NE)

Republicans (14)
Sen. Ted Stevens (REP-AK)
Sen. Arlen Specter (REP-PA)
Sen. Pete Domenici (REP-NM)
Sen. Christopher Bond (REP-MO)
Sen. Mitch McConnell (REP-KY)
Sen. Richard Shelby (REP-AL)
Sen. Judd Gregg (REP-NH)
Sen. Robert Bennett (REP-UT)
Sen. Larry Craig (REP-ID)
Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (REP-TX)
Sen. Sam Brownback (REP-KS)
Sen. Wayne Allard (REP-CO)
Sen. Lamar Alexander (REP-TN)


Jan 7, 2007

House Ways And Means Committee Schedules Meeting To Get Organized

The House Ways and Means Committee has scheduled a business meeting for January 10, 2007 with "organization of committee assignments" on the agenda. Presumably, members will be assigned to subcommittees at this meeting.

The Social Security Subcommittee of the House Ways and Means Committee has always been the most important Congressional body for the Social Security Administration (SSA), although everyone interested in Social Security now may have to pay far more attention to the appropriations committees, because of SSA's terrible budget problems.