Why Do So Many Republican Candidates For President Favor Cuts In Social Security?

     Today's opinion pieces:

• Paul Krugman at the New York Times believes most Republican candidates for President support cuts to Social Security not because these cuts are popular with the Republican base (they aren't) but because big money donors support cuts in Social Security.
• Tim Worstall at Forbes says that you don't have to be a bloated plutocrat to favor cuts in Social Security. In fact, retirement age should be raised to 80!
• Ezra Klein at Vox believes that one of the major reasons that Donald Trump is popular with Republican voters is that Trump doesn't favor cuts in Social Security.

Grim Processing Time Report

      From the newsletter (not available online) of the National Organization of Social Security Claimants Representatives (NOSSCR). Click on the image of each page to view full size.

When It Comes To Age Of Retirement, Don't Believe What People Tell You

From EBRI -- Click On Image To See Full Size

They've Got Opinions And Some Facts

     Here's a roundup of today's columnist pieces on Social Security:

• Michael Hiltzik on the lack of a confirmed Commissioner of Social Security
• Tom Margenau on the Lump Sum Death Payment (LSDP)
• Laurence Kotlikoff and Robert Pozen on how the retirement earnings test for those between age 62 and full retirement age discourages people from working

House Appropriations Committee "Believes" In Functional Assessment Batteries

     From the report (page 150) of the House Appropriations Committee on the Labor-HHS Appropriations bill, which covers the Social Security Administration:

The Social Security Administration (SSA) has partnered with the National Institutes of Health to create a functional assessment tool that is reliable and objective and may inform the disability determination process. One of the major projects of this partnership is the Functional Assessment Battery (FAB). The Committee believes the FAB tool could serve to provide uniform, objective evidence to the disability determination.The Committee notes its concern that SSA is currently limiting the use of this tool for only survey research. The Committee directs SSA to test the use of the FAB as part of the demonstrations undertaken within the Disability Early Intervention Initiative.

     The bill has now been reported out of Committee.
     The Committee can "believe" what it wants but any function assessment battery will be worthless in determining disability. You cannot test someone's work capacity over the course of a few hours and extrapolate from that to determine the person's ability to work eight hours a day, five days a week, fifty weeks a year. You cannot say that because a person has run 100 yards that they can run a marathon, much less say that the person can run a marathon at the same pace that they have run 100 yards. There's no way around this problem.
     Functional assessment batteries have always been and will always be fool's gold. They appeal only to those who give little thought to the matter, especially if they have no interest in justice, and to those who stand to profit from performing the functional assessment batteries.
     The United Kingdom has started using functional assessment batteries in determining disability. It's been pretty disastrous.
     If you think disability determination in the United States is problematic, you'd right. Disability determination is an inherently messy, imprecise business. That doesn't mean that things can't be made worse. Things could get a lot worse with widespread use of functional assessment batteries.

Happy 80th Birthday, Social Security!

Survey On Having Enough Money To Live Comfortably In Retirement

From EBRI -- Click On Image To View Full Size

Eric Conn's Former Clients Awaiting Word From Federal Court

     There was a hearing Monday on a motion to prevent the Social Security Administration from forcing almost 1,500 former clients of Eric Conn to prove all over again that they're disabled. There's no decision yet from the Court but the attorney representing the class has posted about the hearing on Facebook. He says that he gave the judge his best estimate that only about a third of the claimants would be able to obtain legal representation. Training for volunteer attorneys is tentatively scheduled for August 29.