There are signs of a possible consensus forming in favor of some tinkering with the work incentives for Social Security disability benefits, probably some sort of benefit offset program, as the "price" for extending the life of the Social Security Disability Trust Fund. The Social Security Task Force of the Coalition for Citizens with Disabilities (CCD), a major umbrella group, has released its
benefit offset proposal. I won't detail the whole proposal but the most important parts are the elimination of the Trial Work Period and Extended Period of Eligibility combined with a benefit offset program whereby claimants would lose one dollar for every two they earn over the amount required to trigger a trial work period month, currently $780 per month.
First key question: Would the CCD proposal cost money or save money? I'm not sure. I doubt that it will have much effect either way.
Second key question: Would the CCD proposal give further encouragement for claimants to return to work? The proposal would be easier for Social Security to administer, which is a good thing, but I don't think it would have any significant effect upon claimant behavior. Claimants already want to return to work. The problem isn't the incentives; it's the state of their health. Huge bargains won't induce people to shop at a store if the store's doors are locked.
Third key question: Can any tinkering with work incentives achieve the goal of reducing program costs. The answer to this one is clear. You certainly can save money by tinkering with work incentives. All you have to do is to reduce the work incentives. Can someone come up with a proposal that reduces work incentives while simultaneously pretending that they are increasing work incentives? Probably. That's the sort of thing that politicians excel at. That may be where we're heading.
Fourth key question: Is there really a consensus forming to only tinker with work incentives or is this just the game that Republicans play until after the election at which point they reveal their real plan to use the exhaustion of the Disability Insurance Trust Fund to force dramatic cuts?