Apr 16, 2018

I Hope Andrew Saul Doesn't Endorse This

     Andrew Saul, President Trump's nominee for Commissioner of Social Security, was on the board of trustees of the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research. He's off now but I can't tell when he joined or left that board.
     Here's an excerpt from a recent op ed by a Senior Fellow at the Manhattan Institute with my comments in brackets.
The American polity recently tore itself apart debating the morality of adding $1.5 trillion in tax cuts to the national debt. Yet the $82 trillion avalanche of Social Security and Medicare deficits that will come over the next three decades elicits a collective shrug. Future historians — and taxpayers — are unlikely to forgive our casual indifference to what has been called “the most predictable economic crisis in history.” ...
Politicians brush aside the issue by promising easy fixes. Tax the rich? Doubling the 35 and 37 percent tax brackets to 70 and 74 percent would close just one-fifth of the long-term Social Security and Medicare shortfall. Even seizing all annual income earned over $500,000 would not come close. [These are damned lies. The long term Social Security deficit is 2.83% of taxable payroll. You can solve most of the long term financing problem simply by eliminating the FICA earnings cap.] ...
In reality, balancing the long-term budget without reforming Social Security and Medicare (and fast-growing Medicaid) would require either nearly doubling income-tax rates across the board or eliminating nearly every remaining federal function. [There's no way around it. This is a preposterous lie.] ...
[T]here’s the argument that Social Security and Medicare represent an unbreakable, unamendable promise to the elderly, consequences be damned. Of course, today’s teenagers never signed up for this budget-busting deal. Besides, benefits have been repeatedly expanded far beyond what current retirees were promised while working.
Those reasonably claiming “I just want the benefits I earned!” should be considered allies for reform. Setting lifetime Social Security and Medicare benefits equal to the net present value of each person’s lifetime contributions to the systems — and not a penny more — would eliminate most of the long-term shortfall. ...
More realistically, Social Security can be addressed by gradually raising the eligibility age and more aggressively means-testing benefits for wealthy retirees. [Actually, these measures wouldn't do nearly as much good as eliminating the FICA cap. However, a 0.25% tax on financial speculation with revenues going to the Social Security trust funds would solve 93% of the long term shortfall. ] ...
     It's not fair to blame or credit Mr. Saul for everything written by a person who works for a "think tank" merely because he was at one time on that think tank's board of trustees but this may be the most obviously deceptive, intentionally misleading piece on Social Security financing that I've ever read and I've read a lot. It's ridiculous on its face and it's not the only obnoxious piece produced by the Manhattan Institute. I hope that Saul repudiates this sort of thing.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Think, thank, thunk
MI’s comments are debunked
They should have checked their math
Then taken a bath
The article stinks like a skunk

Anonymous said...

No matter how much it stinks it may soon be policy! MI tells us all we need to know about where this guy is coming from.