From the Urban Institute:
SSA’s forthcoming regulation includes three major components:
- Replacing outdated occupational data: SSA plans to adopt the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Occupational Requirements Survey (ORS) to replace the obsolete Dictionary of Occupational Titles (DOT), a move with bipartisan support.
- Implementing data from ORS: SSA must make many decisions on how best to implement and interpret ORS data, such as determining whether sufficient jobs exist at various skill and exertional levels that will directly affect eligibility outcomes.
- Age as a Factor: SSA is considering changes to how age, education, and past work experience influence disability determinations. These changes would disproportionately affect older workers.
Estimated Impact:
- The anticipated regulation could reduce eligibility for new applicants to the SSDI program by as much as 20 percent overall, and up to 30 percent among older workers. The potential impact on the SSI program is unclear.
- A 10% reduction in SSDI eligibility could result in 500,000 people losing access over 10 years including 80,000 widows and children. An additional 250,000 beneficiaries could lose eligibility for part of the period.
- A 10% reduction would reduce benefits by $82 billion, with ripple effects on Medicare and Medicaid eligibility.
- Many denied older workers may claim early retirement benefits, reducing their lifetime income by up to 30%. …
5 comments:
Any idea what is might be? Move GRID rule up by 5 yrs (need 55 for sedentary)?
If the GRID rules were eliminated or revised, we could potentially see judges who now approve 10-20% approve 0-5%.
Warshawsky has publicly commented on the GRIDs issue numerous times. He led the the writing of this NPRM under the first Trump administration. This same NPRM is now being updated by SSA. In the original NPRM (5 plus years ago), the GRIDs were eliminated. No manual/heavy labor after age 60. There will be no need to evaluate for transferable skills. ORS in its current release cannot address transferable skills, because the task lists have not been analyzed or released in any ORS data release to date.
The reduction in awards will be more than 20% more likely than not.
POTUS repeatedly promised no cuts. Moving the grid rule ages is a massive cut to a very popular program. Mid-terms next year with close margins to hold congress. Are they that dumb? Let’s see.
So an older disabled homeless population, is what it sounds like. Finding a job over 50 has been proven to be difficult, especially with the job numbers the way they've been. There are already too many elderly or semi-elderly people on the streets. Throw a disability in there TOO and it's going to be a sad mess they'll have created.
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