The Congressional Research Service has prepared a timely report on what happens in the case of a government shutdown due to a budgetary impasse. Unfortunately, the main takeaway from the report is that Social Security is a special case so one cannot say with confidence exactly what will happen. The precedent from 1995 suggests that most of Social Security will stay open. The Office of Management and Budget requires agencies to have written shutdown plans. I have never seen a copy of Social Security's plan.
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